After some intense weeks of top darting action, we are now heading to the final stages of this year’s PDC Premier League darts competition. Week 10 in Liverpool is judgement night with some throwers facing elimination and others getting ready for the knockouts.
Last week saw a surprise result with Rob Cross going down to Daryl Gurney while most matches went with the favourites to let’s firstly see how it’s all affected the outright betting for the 2018 edition.
Rob Cross’ defeat sees Michael Van Gerwen shorten at the top of the market after brushing aside fellow Dutchman Raymond Van Barneveld by seven legs to two. MVG can now be backed at best odds of 1/2 with Winner Sports and William Hill while the chasing pack falls behind.
Cross remains second favourite at a top price of 5/1 with SportingBet while Gary Anderson is in third place at a best of 7/1 with 10Bet and Sport Pesa. The impressive Michael Smith picked up another victory last time out and after defeating Gerwyn Price, ‘Bully Boy’ is at best odds of 14/1 with Bet365 and Ladbrokes.
Prices really start to drift at this point with Raymond Van Barneveld coming up next at a best of 28/1 with Ladbrokes and 10Bet. The Dutchman is in mid-table but was blown away by Van Gerwen last week and is under some pressure.
Next up are the strugglers at the bottom of the table with Daryl Gurney quoted at a top price of 66/1 with William Hill and Simon Whitlock at that same best of 66/1 with Ladbrokes and Coral. Finally, the men most likely to be eliminated are Mensur Suljovic at 1000/1 with SportingBet and Gerwyn Price also at 1000/1 – this time with Boylesports.
It’s interesting to note that Suljovic is as short as 100/1 elsewhere but at those prices we will avoid them.
Those are the outright prices ahead of week 10 and starting things off in Liverpool on Thursday night are Simon Whitlock and Gerwyn Price. It’s not the most attractive fixture on the schedule but there could be some value here with Whitlock odds on favourite at a best of 4/5 with Sun Bets and BetBright while Price is out at 3/1 with Unibet and 888Sport.
The draw is the other possibility at a top price of 19/5 with Boylesports and with neither man in great form right now, a tie at six legs apiece does have potential.
Moving on we have Raymond Van Barneveld against Michael Smith with some bookies unable to split the two players. Barney can be picked up at best odds of 7/5 with Coral and Sport Pesa but while Smith is also available in some places at 7/5, he’s marginally further back at 188Bet who have a top price of 18/11.
The draw finishes this one off at a best of 10/3 with Betway and Winner Sports and clearly this is another match with potential for value if we can call it correctly.
Match of the Night
The tightest game to call must surely be the third clash of the night with Gary Anderson and Rob Cross stepping up to the oche. Cross suffered that surprise reverse last week but had previously won five Premier League matches in a row. Anderson won another tight game against Mensur Suljovic in week 9 and while this is another tie where some bookies have the same win price for both men, the Flying Scotsman is the general favourite at best odds of 16/11 with Sport Pesa.
Cross can be picked up at 17/10 with Boylesports and the draw completes things at best odds of 10/3 with Bet365 and MarathonBet.
The penultimate game in Liverpool is between Mensur Suljovic and Michael Van Gerwen and not surprisingly this is one clash where the bookies are hinting at a clear winner. Mighty Mike goes into this one at a best of 1/4 with Sun Bets and 188Bet while Austrian Suljovic is right out at 17/2 with Boylesports and 188Bet.
The draw is actually the second favourite option here at a top price of 13/2 with Coral and Betway and that’s an indicator suggesting that MVG should romp home.
Concluding our evening is another tight one between Daryl Gurney and Peter Wright. Gurney recorded that win last week but it’s been a slow tournament overall while Wright has endured a wretched competition, ending a run of heavy defeats with a 6-6 draw with Simon Whitlock last time out.
As for the market, Wright is fairly clear at the top at best odds of 6/5 with Unibet and 888Sport while Gurney follows at 15/8 with BetBright and 188Bet. The draw, meanwhile, is available at a top price of 7/2 with Betway.
With the exception of the Suljovic versus Van Gerwen clash, we have four very tight games here and some potential for nice profits at the end of the night. Correct score betting will be popular with the chances of 7-5 and 6-6 results looking particularly high but with so many odds against options this Thursday, we’ll be staying with the straight results.
First up, it may seem an unlikely bet to take Gerwyn Price who is without a win after eight Premier League matches. However, his opponent Simon Whitlock has slumped after a bright opening and Price has the potential to beat anyone if he is at the top of his game.
Next, we’ll keep faith with Michael Smith who has given us some decent returns in this tournament and should continue his run of form against Raymond Van Barneveld whose big defeat to Van Gerwen last week suggests he may be running out of steam towards the end of a long tournament.
Finally, with his place in the next round on the line, we’re tipping Peter Wright to find his touch again as he takes on Daryl Gurney. Snakebite is the favourite but at 6/5 he offers some value on what we hope will be a profitable evening.
- Gerwyn Price to beat Simon Whitlock at 3/1 with Unibet
- Michael Smith to beat Raymond Van Barneveld at 18/11 with 188Bet
- Peter Wright to beat Daryl Gurney at 6/5 with 888Sport